Every week during women’s basketball season, our sports staff will discuss different topics surrounding an upcoming game(s). Today, sports reporters Jonathan Hawthorne, Chris Keizur and Joseph Hoyt discuss the Oregon’s regular season and it’s chances in the WNIT. The Ducks play Pacific in the first round of the tournament Thursday at 7 p.m. at Matthew Knight Arena.
1) How would you characterize Oregon’s season: success, disappointment or in between?
Hawthorne — Though the Ducks (15-15, 6-12 Pac-12) had a few “stinger” losses this season, the record definitely improved from last season (4-27, 2-16), especially in Pac-12 play. I think that it’s important to look at the improvement in scoring and ability to run head coach Paul Westhead’s system at full octane. Despite a few tough losses — the sweep against the Washington schools on the road might be the team’s worst — the Ducks improved greatly from 4-27. Look for even more improvement next year.
Keizur — This season has to be viewed as a disappointment simply because it felt like the team left wins on the table. At times sidetracked by injuries, the Ducks had trouble closing out close games and giving up leads, costing them a record that truly matched their talent on the court. That being said, it is always nice to get a postseason nod.
Hoyt — Oregon’s season can be summed up as a disappointing, but hopeful. While the record is average, the Ducks saw the emergence of sophomore Jillian Alleyne, going from hopeful freshman to a dominant force. She became the fastest player in school history to 1,000 points and smashed other records, as well. Also, freshman guard Chrishae Rowe became a lethal scorer this year. A new coach will inherit a talented roster and the future is bright for Oregon.
2) What is your brief scouting report of Pacific?
Hawthorne — The Tigers are a formidable opponent at 18-12 and 12-6 in the WCC. Pacific, who earned the WCC’s automatic bid to the WNIT, advanced to the WNIT Sweet 16 last season with wins over UALR and Washington before losing to Utah in overtime. Pacific beat Arizona at home this year during the regular season, but that doesn’t say too much to Ducks fans, for Oregon swept Arizona this year. Oregon needs to out-run the Tigers, who will not be used to the up-tempo speed of the Ducks.
Keizur — Pacific is a good team that fell short in the second round of the WCC tournament, losing to BYU. The team is lead by a player that should be familiar to the Ducks, guard Kiki Moore, who formerly played for Washington State and Fresno State. Moore has faced the Ducks four times with her previous teams, averaging 16 points per game. If the Ducks can slow her production while pushing their own tempo I think they will be able to exploit some favorable matchups against Pacific.
Hoyt — Pacific could enter Eugene in the first round of the WNIT and walk out with a victory. Moore is a veteran scorer that knows Oregon very well and Pacific has been impressive versus the Pac-12 in recent memory. The Tigers beat Washington in the WNIT last year, handled Arizona this season and went toe-to-toe with California on the road, losing 68-66 in overtime on Dec. 7. Keep an eye out for Kendall Kenyon, also. The junior forward is averaging 15.9 points per game this season.
3) Which Oregon player will be most important in Thursday’s game?
Hawthorne — I think that Rowe will have a standout performance against the Tigers. She was banged up the last few weeks of the season with an Achilles injury and is no doubt itching to put up some big numbers and end her freshman campaign on a high note. The momentum that this team builds in the WNIT will be crucial for next year’s coach and team.
Keizur — I am going to dodge the question and instead say that the most important people in this game will be Westhead and his coaching staff. Westhead will have to refocus his players, who may still be reeling from the news that his contract would not be renegotiated for next season. It will be important for Westhead to set the tone in practice, not allowing his players to succumb to the distractions.
Hoyt — The most important player will be — as it has been the entire year — Alleyne. She’s proven in her second year not only to be a prominent scorer but one of the best rebounders in the nation. She takes immense pride in her ability to rebound, and it’s something Oregon will need against Pacific. Her consistency has been often overlooked and underappreciated, but it’ll be the key to advancing in the WNIT. @@ facts and names checked.
4) Who will win Thursday’s game and will it be close, a blowout or in between?
Hawthorne — The game will be handily won by the Ducks. I think the entire team understands just how important a win could be for the program, as it will allow Westhead’s tenure to continue for a little longer. Nobody knows exactly what style of play the new Oregon coach will institute, so it’s important for this team to continue to play hard and press the tempo. I predict a 105-79 win for Oregon.
Keizur — I don’t think this will be a close game at all. Though I think Pacific is a good team that deserves to be in the postseason, I just have a feeling that between Rowe and Alleyne, the Ducks will be able to run them out of Matthew Knight Arena. Look for Oregon to push their tempo and try to exploit the defense for easy fast break baskets. I foresee a final score somewhere around 82-67 Oregon.
Hoyt — The postseason for Oregon during Westhead’s tenure has been far from successful. The team has struggled in the win-or-go-home format and I think getting this win would be a huge motivational force for Oregon. I think it’ll be close, but Oregon manages to escape with a win against upstart Pacific.
5) How will the Ducks fare in the WNIT?
Hawthorne — Oregon would meet the winner of Washington/Hawaii if it beats Pacific. I feel that the Ducks have a reasonable chance to upset the Huskies and reach the WNIT Sweet 16 because it’s difficult to beat a team two times in a row. Washington beat Oregon in the end of February, and Oregon will undoubtedly be looking for revenge when they meet the Huskies. This team understands that an Oregon/Washington game is a rivalry game for both sides.
Keizur — Unfortunately for the Ducks, a win against Pacific is the best that they can hope for in the WNIT. Oregon is a team with a gimmicky system and that plays really fast. Once teams figure that out, it isn’t that hard to contain the Ducks defensively. I think Washington will advance, and as they have already proven, they are capable of beating Oregon. Look for the Duck’s run to end there.
Hoyt — If Oregon can break the trend and win a postseason game, it’s possible it could make a run. The Ducks have beaten Washington before, who they’ll likely face in the second round, and they could do it again. It’s possible they could be successful in Westhead’s final hurrah. However, I wouldn’t consider it likely.
Follow Jonathan Hawthorne on Twitter @Jon_Hawthorne
Follow Chris Keizur on Twitter @chriskeizur
Follow Joseph Hoyt on Twitter @jhoyt42