The Four Factors:

• Field goal percentage (eFG): Regular field goal percentage with additional weight given to three-pointers
• Turnover rate (TOV): Measurement of ball security
• Rebounding percentage (Reb): Percentage of the possible rebounds an offense or defense collects
• Free throw rate (FTR): Rate at which a team gets to the foul line, or fouls the opposing team

The moment the Oregon men’s basketball team has wanted is finally here. After Joseph Young guaranteed that the Ducks would make the NCAA tournament on Tuesday, there is even more pressure on the team to pick up a much needed quality win over No. 9 Utah.

Despite Young’s confidence and Oregon’s record at Matthew Knight Arena this season, Utah (21-4, 11-2) is ironclad statistically. The Ducks (19-8, 9-5) will need a lot of things to go their way on Sunday to come out with the win.

Utah might have the reputation of being a grind-it-out, defense-first team, but the Utes also have one of the best offenses in the country. Utah has the highest effective field goal and three point percentages in the Pac-12 and ranks second in two point and free throw percentages.

The largest part of Utah’s success on offense is Delon Wright. Wright is the nation’s premier scoring guard with a unique physical style that boosts his numbers on defense as well. This year, Wright has averaged 14.1 points, 4.7 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 2.2 steals per game, making him the perfect candidate for several national Player of the Year awards.

On the other hand, Wright has been in Salt Lake for four years now, and the Utes just broke into national prominence this season. Utah’s biggest catalyst for the 2015 season also happens to be the biggest player on its team in center Jakob Poeltl.

Poeltl is shooting 67.7 percent from the field and averages 7.4 rebounds per game, but he doesn’t contribute much on the scoreboard, with 8.9 points per game. Still, the seven-footer’s biggest impact has been on the boards. Poeltl is ranked No. 9 nationally in offensive rebound percentage and is amongst the top-10 defensive rebounders in the Pac-12.

Utah’s Jordan Loveridge and Brandon Taylor round out the offensive attack with a good mix of scoring and play making ability.

Loveridge mans the small forward position, operates as a catch-and-shoot perimeter player and averages 10.2 points per game with a 46.8 percent clip from three point range.

Taylor is an efficient point guard and tops the conference in effective field goal percentage, true shooting percentage and assist rate despite only participating in roughly 20 percent of Utah’s possessions. Taylor has averaged 10.8 points and 3.6 assists this season.

Outside of field goal percentage, however, Utah’s numbers come back down to earth. The Utes turn the ball over at a normal rate and struggle to collect offensive rebounds.

The Ducks have maintained a high effective field goal percentage and turnover rate, good enough for third and fourth best in the Pac-12 respectively, but they have struggled as much as the Utes have on the offensive boards.

Oregon might have the advantage in turnover percentage and offensive rebounding, but Utah is so much more efficient that those two factors alone won’t change the chances that Utah will outpace Oregon’s offense on Sunday.

On the other side of the floor, Utah has maintained its gaudy statistics. The Utes have the best effective field goal percentage against in the Pac-12 and are at the top of the conference in nearly every other defensive metric.

Utah’s aggressive man defense has prevented teams from converting any set plays on offense, as the Utes have the Pac-12’s best assist to field goal against percentage. They also rebound at a good rate and rarely foul ball handlers.

Simply put, Oregon won’t be able to score against Utah in its typical fashion. There won’t be any openings in the paint, and the Utes have shown they can defend the perimeter just as well as the interior this season.

If Oregon is going to have a chance at wining this game, it will need all of the bounces to go its way. The Ducks need to convert turnovers, generate hustle plays and benefit from a questionable call or two to stick around, then rely on Young to deliver the win in the game’s waning moments.

KenPom gives Oregon a 20 percent chance to beat Utah, the lowest odds the Ducks have faced since visiting Tucson last month. If there was ever a moment for the Ducks to defy the odds, this would be it.

Follow Josh Schlichter on Twitter @joshschlichter