According to The Oregonian/KGW survey conducted by pollster Stuart Elway, 70 percent of the electorate on the November ballot will be 51 or older.

This survey was conducted to speculate the outcome of the measure 91 after the November.

According to The Oregonian, a recent poll conducted by Elway Research, taken on October 26-27, showed that 44 percent back the legalization of marijuana and 46 percent were opposed to legalization of the 403 survey sample.

This statistic showed different results than a poll surveyed October 8-11 taken by Oregon Public Broadcasting and Fox 12.

The Oregon Public Broadcasting and Fox 12 poll showed 52 percent support the measure and 41 percent opposed.

The change in these results can be directly correlated with the projections of age makeup of those voting, according to The Oregonian.

“It shouldn’t surprise us that if you look at the age makeup, that will have a big effect on which way the survey goes,” Ben Hansen, University of Oregon assistant economic professor said regarding the statistical makeup of each survey.

A survey taken by The Oregonian/KGW by pollster Stuart Elway, shows that 71 percent of the electorate will be aged 51 or older. This could mean that there is less of a chance for measure 91 to pass because the older the voter is the less likely they are to vote yes on the measure, according to Elway who conducted similar surveys in Washington and Colorado and saw the same dynamic.

Younger voters increase the likely hood of the measure passing for multiple reasons, but a majority of that has to do with the perceived risks with marijuana use, according to Ben Hansen.

“Many young individuals are recognizing that there are risks associated with marijuana, but there are probably far fewer than the risks associated with alcohol use,” Hansen said.

If a higher number of older voters are those who vote for the majority of  this election, voters could see the legalization of marijuana rejected.

“I think both electoral compositions suggest that we don’t know which way it’s going to go. You could have the ballot measure narrowly passing, you could have it narrowly failing and a lot of that is going to depend on who goes out to vote,” Hansen said.